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tradewardaily

The costs and consequences of the trade war, every day.
Vol. I · BetaThursday, October 29, 2026Independent · Nonpartisan
The MeterFigures as reported
50%Trump administration cancels some Canada tariffs amid close midterm…50%Higher tariffs on Canadian imports would be 'catastrophic,' Honda…$3.4BTrump’s Trade Chief Questions the EU Tariff Truce After Airbus’s…$4.2BTrump defends tariffs at rally as he says Audi to build U.S. plant$4.2BExclusive | Trump Administration Promised Tariff Relief in Talks to…$20BNew Jersey food importer files lawsuit challenging Trump's 50%…40%Colombian Merchants Call for the Elimination of the 40% Tariff on…$17BU.S. tariffs loom large over Ontario’s annual budget as first look…$4.0BUS promises tariff relief in talks with Audi on Georgia plant…$503MStellantis Loses $503 Million In Q3 As Tariffs Take Effect$135BPeter Schiff Slams Trump’s Tariffs as ‘Complete Failure’ After…50%Lawsuit challenging Trump's tariffs against Canada filed in U.S.…$17BOntario deficit hits record $16.9B as Trump tariffs batter economy$17BScott Stinson: Ontario deficit to soar to $16.9B as Trump's tariffs…

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Policy

Trump administration cancels some Canada tariffs amid close midterm races

Sen. Susan Collins, who’s in a tough re-election fight, said she secured from the Trump administration tariff exemptions on some agricultural and forestry items.

NBC News171 outlets50%CanadaIndiaMexico
Also reporting
  • NST Online: Trump ends tariffs on some Canadian products, as Senator Collins faces close race
  • GulfToday: Trump ends 50% tariffs on some Canadian products
  • Jordan News: Trump Cancels 50% Tariffs on Some Canadian Products...
  • برق الإمارات: Trump ends 50% tariffs on some Canadian products
The Tab
Dispatch

Trump Administration Cancels Select Canada Tariffs

Senator Susan Collins secured tariff exemptions on specific agricultural and forestry items during a period of close midterm races .

The Trump administration canceled tariffs on some agricultural and forestry items from Canada 1. Senator Susan Collins stated she secured these exemptions 1.

The president directed cabinet officials to negotiate over imports deemed a threat to U.S. commerce and security by a Section 232 probe 6. This directive for trade talks instead of tariffs applied to robotics and industrial machinery 6.

Sources
  1. NBC News: Trump administration cancels some Canada tariffs amid close midterm races
  2. Reuters: Higher tariffs on Canadian imports would be 'catastrophic,' Honda exec says
  3. Yahoo Finance: Trump’s Trade Chief Questions the EU Tariff Truce After Airbus’s “Record-Breaking” Loan
  4. Reuters: Canada reports limited progress in trade talks with US
  5. INDIA New England News: India-US Trade Deal Will Protect Farmers and Sensitive Sectors, Says Piyush Goyal
  6. Supply Chain Dive: Trump opts for trade talks over tariffs for robotics, industrial machinery
That's the tab.

Policy

Tariff actions, proclamations and trade agreements.More Policy →
Roundup

Trump administration cancels some Canada tariffs amid close midterm races

6 threads on the policy beat today, led by NBC News.

  1. Trump administration cancels some Canada tariffs amid close midterm races. Sen. Susan Collins, who’s in a tough re-election fight, said she secured from the Trump administration tariff exemptions on some agricultural and forestry items. 1
  2. Higher tariffs on Canadian imports would be 'catastrophic,' Honda exec says 2
  3. Trump opts for trade talks over tariffs for robotics, industrial machinery. For the second time this month, the president directed cabinet officials to negotiate over imports deemed a threat to U.S. commerce and security by a Section 232 probe. 3
  4. U.S. tariffs loom large over Ontario’s annual budget as first look shows $16.9B deficit 4
Sources
  1. NBC News: Trump administration cancels some Canada tariffs amid close midterm races
  2. Reuters: Higher tariffs on Canadian imports would be 'catastrophic,' Honda exec says
  3. Supply Chain Dive: Trump opts for trade talks over tariffs for robotics, industrial machinery
  4. CBC: U.S. tariffs loom large over Ontario’s annual budget as first look shows $16.9B deficit
  5. Forbes: Stellantis Loses $503 Million In Q3 As Tariffs Take Effect
  6. Yahoo: Pete Buttigieg Uses $17.50 Waffle House Meal to Slam Trump’s Tariffs, Says Americans are…
Filed from the paper trail.

World

How trading partners respond, negotiate and retaliate.More World →
Dispatch

Canada signs trade deal with UAE

Canada seeks to diversify trade beyond the United States amid ongoing trade disputes and tariffs.

Canada signed a trade deal with the United Arab Emirates to target non-US markets 3.

The United States government reported that Canada has treated the U.S. "extremely nicely" following tariff pressure 4. The Clinton Herald reported that U.S. businesses are hedging their bets on North American trade as tariffs and trade disputes show no signs of abating 5.

Fortune reported that Volkswagen posted a $6.8 billion quarterly loss with a China slump, Trump tariffs, and a Porsche writedown 6. Yahoo Finance reported that Trump's Trade Chief questioned the EU tariff truce after a "record-breaking" loan for Airbus 1.

Sources
  1. Yahoo Finance: Trump’s Trade Chief Questions the EU Tariff Truce After Airbus’s “Record-Breaking” Loan
  2. Reuters: Canada reports limited progress in trade talks with US
  3. Al Jazeera: Canada signs trade deal with UAE in push for non-US markets
  4. Reuters: Trump says Canada has treated US 'extremely nicely' after tariff pressure
  5. Clinton Herald: U.S. businesses hedging their bets on North American trade as tariffs and trade disputes…
  6. Fortune: Volkswagen posts $6.8 billion quarterly loss with China slump, Trump tariffs and Porsche…
Filed from the other side of the border.

Markets

Stocks, prices, rates and the tariff revenue ledger.More Markets →
Dispatch

Caterpillar Shares Fall as Tariff Costs and Inventories Impact Earnings

Caterpillar shares fell as the company faced costs from tariffs and rising inventory levels .

Caterpillar shares fell as tariff costs and rising inventories overshadowed earnings 6.

The Toronto Sun reported that Doug Ford increased spending as tariffs dragged down Ontario's economy 3. Uprise RI reported that Providence school rebuilds face costs from tariffs and inflation 4.

Medtech Insight reported that Baxter raised 2026 guidance while identifying cephalosporin exit, tariffs, and inflation as 2027 variables 1. Benzinga reported that Peter Schiff called Trump's tariffs a "complete failure" after the September trade deficit reached $134.9 billion 2.

Sources
  1. Medtech Insight: Baxter Raises 2026 Guidance, Flags Cephalosporin Exit, Tariffs, Inflation As 2027…
  2. Benzinga: Peter Schiff Slams Trump’s Tariffs as ‘Complete Failure’ After September Trade Deficit…
  3. Toronto Sun: LILLEY: Doug Ford boosts spending again as tariffs drag down Ontario's economy
  4. Uprise RI: Providence School Rebuilds Face Tariff, Inflation Costs
  5. Investing.com Canada: First Solar earnings on deck: Can tariffs drive pricing power? By Investing.com
  6. Seeking Alpha: Caterpillar tumbles as tariff costs, rising inventories overshadow earnings (CAT:NYSE)
Filed at the close.

Farm & Food

Crops, livestock, export markets and food prices.More Farm & Food →
Dispatch

UK farmers' union says tariff cuts unlikely to lower fertiliser costs

A UK farmers' union states that tariff reductions will not decrease the costs of fertiliser.

A UK farmers' union stated that tariff cuts are unlikely to reduce fertiliser costs 2.

A tariff pause by Trump angered some US ranchers and increased Brazilian beef imports 3.

Mexico warned that US farm tariffs could spark a trade war 4.

The Canadian fisheries minister used a Chinese seafood trade show to push closer ties while tariffs persist 5.

Non-tariff barriers cost the meat sector more than $1.5b a year 6.

Sources
  1. INDIA New England News: India-US Trade Deal Will Protect Farmers and Sensitive Sectors, Says Piyush Goyal
  2. FreshPlaza: UK farmers' union says tariff cuts unlikely to reduce fertiliser costs
  3. Al Jazeera: Trump’s tariff pause angers some US ranchers, boosts Brazilian beef imports
  4. Newsmax: Mexico Warns US Farm Tariffs Could Spark Trade War
  5. Undercurrent News: Canadian fisheries minister uses giant Chinese seafood trade show to push closer ties as…
  6. NZ Herald: Non-tariff barriers cost meat sector more than $1.5b a year
Filed from the county road.

Supply Chain

Ports, shipping, manufacturing and sourcing shifts.More Supply Chain →
Dispatch

Schumer introduces legislation to end tariffs in New York

New legislation aims to lower prices in communities across Central and Northern New York by ending costly tariffs .

Senator Schumer introduced legislation to end tariffs and lower prices in communities across Central and Northern New York 1. The legislation is aimed at addressing the impact of the tariff war on families and businesses in the region 1.

Trump is promising automakers tariff relief if they commit to U.S. factories 2. Automakers face rising costs from tariffs, diesel, and computer chips 6. A Barrie manufacturer is looking beyond the auto industry due to tariff uncertainty 5.

Sources
  1. Oswego County Today: Schumer, Standing At The Port Of Oswego With Families And Businesses Being Crushed By…
  2. Quartz: Trump is promising automakers tariff relief if they commit to U.S. factories
  3. Supply Chain Management Review: First Shift: Robotics tariffs, maritime risk and port congestion reshape…
  4. National Taxpayers Union: Boo! Tariffs Inflate Halloween Candy Prices
  5. CTV News: Long-standing Barrie manufacturer looks beyond auto industry amid tariff uncertainty
  6. NPR: Tariffs, diesel and computer chips are driving up costs for automakers
Filed from the loading dock.

Law & Congress

Litigation, rulings, refunds and legislation.More Law & Congress →
Dispatch

Tariff Refunds Impact Earnings for Carrier and ACCO Brands

Companies including Carrier and ACCO Brands reported earnings supported by tariff refunds during the third quarter.

Carrier reported third-quarter earnings and sales beat driven by HVAC demand and tariff refunds 3. ACCO Brands reported a third-quarter earnings per share beat that relied on a tariff refund as revenue lagged 2.

TradingView reported that tariff refunds lifted 9 million in earnings for ESCA as third-quarter sales softened and gross margin improved 6. Barron's reported that tariff refunds boosted stocks for Polaris and Logistics 1.

Sources
  1. Barron's: Tariff Refunds Boost Polaris and Logistics Stocks, but Leave Caterpillar Sidelined
  2. ChartMill: ACCO Brands (NYSE:ACCO) Q3 EPS Beat Relies on Tariff Refund as Revenue Lags
  3. Yahoo Finance: Carrier Q3 Earnings & Sales Beat on HVAC Demand, Tariff Refunds
  4. Personal Care Insights: How small beauty brands can navigate tariff turbulence and refunds
  5. Global News: How Democrats could challenge Trump’s tariff powers if they win Congress
  6. TradingView: ESCA: Tariff refunds lifted 9M earnings as Q3 sales softened and gross margin improved
Filed from the clerk's office.

Consumers

Prices, jobs, wages and small business.More Consumers →
Dispatch

Colombian Merchants Call for 40% Clothing Tariff Removal

Colombian merchants seek the elimination of a 40% tariff on imported clothing.

Colombian merchants are calling for the elimination of a 40% tariff on imported clothing 1.

British baked beans are under threat from Burnham tariffs 3.

Gas suppliers announced November rates where monthly prices rise while annual tariffs remain stable 4.

Sources
  1. ColombiaOne: Colombian Merchants Call for the Elimination of the 40% Tariff on Imported Clothing
  2. WWD: Liberty Justice Center’s ‘Operation Refund Rescue’ Aims to Help Small Businesses Recover…
  3. The Telegraph: British baked beans ‘under threat from Burnham tariffs’
  4. Inkorr: Gas Suppliers Announce November Rates: Monthly Prices Rise While Annual Tariffs Stay…
  5. Substack: Affordability vs. tariffs
  6. Sierra Sun Times: U.S. House Ranking Member Raskin Investigates Trump’s Tariff-Exception Grift: American…
Filed from the checkout line.

On the Record

Governments and trade bodies in their own words, linked directly.

WTO
2026-10-28
Trade Policy Review: Democratic Republic of the CongoWorld Trade Organization

The Paper Trail

Primary legal documents: the Federal Register and presidential actions.

Notice
2026-10-29
Notice Regarding the Uyghur Forced Labor Prevention Act Entity ListHomeland Security Department · FR Doc 2026-22094
Notice
2026-10-29
Channel Pacific Railroad-Operation Exemption-In West Sacramento, Yolo County, Cal.Surface Transportation Board · FR Doc 2026-22090
Rule
2026-10-29
Pleasure Vessels of Malta Entitled To Cruising LicensesHomeland Security Department · FR Doc 2026-22089
Notice
2026-10-29
Combined Notice of Filings #1Energy Department · FR Doc 2026-22087
Presidential Document
2026-10-28
Adjusting Imports of Wind Turbines and Their Parts and Components Into the United StatesExecutive Office of the President · FR Doc 2026-22049